Last weekend the Premier League forecast performance was exceptional. This weekend, it looks no better than what people who thought Gay Meadow was just the name of a funfair could achieve.
But with 40 matches played so far in the Football League, the model is still at a par with last weekend in terms of correct scorelines predicted (4/40; 10%), and could improve with 6 games left to play. Overall, this hit rate is a little lower than what we would expect the model to achieve, but we are still tinkering with our exact method.