Lower Leagues, update

Tonight, Crewe take on Mansfield in another match rescheduled due to international commitments of the Mansfield players. Back when it was due to be played, we forecast Mansfield to win 1-0.
Updating the dataset to the present day yields a new forecast, namely a goalless draw.  See the table below; the expected number of goals for Crewe was sufficiently low (0.06), and Mansfield’s not sufficiently high (0.72) to generate a 1-1 draw prediction. Although Mansfield are favourites still, at 38% likely to win, our Fuzzy Conditional forecast is for a draw, since Crewe’s probability of winning is sufficiently close, at 33%.
Due to the delays caused by absent minded parenting, this is a nowcast, and indeed a nowcast that is already wrong, as at the time of writing, Mansfield are 2-0 up.