The second round of the FA Cup is upon us (in fact it began about 35 minutes ago somewhere near Birmingham). The Model actually thinks there’ll be a shock at Solihull Moors, too, with a 1-0 win for the non-leaguers most likely (16%).
It’s not the only shock the Model sees in store this weekend, either. AFC Wimbledon will go down 1-0 at Halifax (3%), Oldham who squeaked by Hampton and Richmond Borough in the first round (pictured) will bow out 1-0 at Maidstone (11%), Wrexham will win the Welsh Derby with Newport 1-0 (3%), Chesterfield will beat Grimsby 1-0 (9%), and Slough will deal with Gilllingham 3-0 (9%). It could be an interesting weekend!
| Forecast | Win (%) | |||||
| Date | Score | PR(%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
| 30 Nov | Solihull M | Blackpool | 1-0 | 16% | 38% | 35% |
| 1 Dec | Accrington | Chelt’m | 2-0 | 17% | 56% | 20% |
| Halifax | AFCW | 1-0 | 3% | 48% | 26% | |
| Lincoln | Carlisle | 2-1 | 10% | 57% | 20% | |
| Maidstone | Oldham | 1-0 | 11% | 37% | 36% | |
| Peterboro | Bradford | 1-0 | 18% | 66% | 14% | |
| Plymouth | Oxford | 1-0 | 13% | 38% | 35% | |
| Southend | Barnsley | 0-1 | 6% | 29% | 44% | |
| Walsall | S’derland | 0-1 | 16% | 31% | 42% | |
| Wrexham | Newport | 1-0 | 3% | 55% | 21% | |
| 2 Dec | Barnet | Stockport | 2-1 | 5% | 45% | 28% |
| Bury | Luton | 1-2 | 9% | 29% | 44% | |
| Chesterf’d | Grimsby | 1-0 | 9% | 45% | 28% | |
| Rochdale | P’mouth | 0-1 | 7% | 34% | 39% | |
| S’bury | S’thorpe | 1-0 | 26% | 53% | 22% | |
| Slough | G’ham | 3-0 | 9% | 44% | 29% | |
| Swindon | Woking | 2-1 | 4% | 39% | 34% | |
| Tranmere | Southport | 2-0 | 11% | 59% | 19% | |
| 3 Dec | Guiseley | Fleetwood | 0-1 | 17% | 35% | 38% |