Millwall haven’t won in 9, and they have only picked up 4 points in that time. No surprise then that they spend Christmas in the Championship drop zone. On Boxing Day they have a good chance to turn this around against Reading, who themselves have not won in 7 games. The Model forecasts a 2-1 (10%) Millwall win.
Leeds are arguably the overachievers of the season so far in English professional football. Their run of 6 straight wins is most likely to be extended on December 26th according to the Model (55%), as they welcome Blackburn Rovers to Elland Road. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%) to Leeds.
The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the table below:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
Birmingham | Stoke | 1-1 | 13 | 38 | 33 |
Bolton | Rotherham | 0-0 | 15 | 35 | 36 |
Bristol City | Brentford | 1-0 | 9 | 40 | 31 |
Leeds | Blackburn | 1-0 | 11 | 55 | 20 |
Middlesbrough | Sheffield Wed | 1-0 | 11 | 55 | 20 |
Millwall | Reading | 2-1 | 10 | 39 | 32 |
Norwich | Notts Forest | 1-0 | 15 | 49 | 24 |
Preston | Hull | 1-0 | 11 | 45 | 27 |
QPR | Ipswich | 1-0 | 13 | 54 | 21 |
Sheff Utd | Derby | 1-1 | 13 | 35 | 36 |
Swansea | Aston Villa | 1-1 | 12 | 34 | 37 |
West Brom | Wigan | 2-1 | 9 | 64 | 14 |