Millwall haven’t won in 9, and they have only picked up 4 points in that time. No surprise then that they spend Christmas in the Championship drop zone. On Boxing Day they have a good chance to turn this around against Reading, who themselves have not won in 7 games. The Model forecasts a 2-1 (10%) Millwall win.
Leeds are arguably the overachievers of the season so far in English professional football. Their run of 6 straight wins is most likely to be extended on December 26th according to the Model (55%), as they welcome Blackburn Rovers to Elland Road. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 (11%) to Leeds.
The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
    Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Birmingham Stoke 1-1 13 38 33
Bolton Rotherham 0-0 15 35 36
Bristol City Brentford 1-0 9 40 31
Leeds Blackburn 1-0 11 55 20
Middlesbrough Sheffield Wed 1-0 11 55 20
Millwall Reading 2-1 10 39 32
Norwich Notts Forest 1-0 15 49 24
Preston Hull 1-0 11 45 27
QPR Ipswich 1-0 13 54 21
Sheff Utd Derby 1-1 13 35 36
Swansea Aston Villa 1-1 12 34 37
West Brom Wigan 2-1 9 64 14