Is this the iconic image of Bournemouth? The balloon in the park? It is to me, from seaside trips years ago. Maybe Eddie Howe is now the iconic image of Bournemouth. He is the longest serving manager in the Premier League (just ahead of Sean Dyche at Burnley). And his side consistently exceed expectations. This weekend the Cherries welcome the Hammers. According to our Model, West Ham are favourites, with a 49% chance of victory and a most likely outcome of 1-2 (4%).
Arsenal v Chelsea is a big London derby. both sides are looking at the transfer market this month as they seek to make sure of Champions League football next season. The Model thinks this will be a tight game, with a most likely scoreline of 1-1 (8%).
Man Utd have 6 on the bounce. And they are favourites to make that 7, with a 60% chance of beating Brighton at home. The most likely outcome according to the Model is 1-0 (16%).
The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts for Round 23 of the Premier League:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Arsenal Chelsea 1-1 8 34 37
Bournemouth West Ham 1-2 4 24 49
Liverpool Crystal Palace 2-0 20 55 20
Manchester Utd Brighton 1-0 16 60 17
Newcastle Cardiff 1-0 19 67 13
Southampton Everton 1-1 13 38 33
Watford Burnley 1-0 14 55 20
Wolves Leicester 1-0 13 57 19
Fulham Spurs 0-2 11 11 70
Huddersfield Manchester City 0-2 19 8 78