The FA Cup Fifth Round happens this weekend. The Model doesn’t think there’s going to be any upsets.

Forecast Win (%)
Score PR(%) P(H) P(A)
QPR Watford 0-1 25% 24% 50%
AFC Wim Millwall 1-2 5% 24% 51%
Brighton Derby 1-0 12% 50% 24%
Newport Co Man City 0-2 13% 6% 83%
Bristol C Wolves 0-1 18% 31% 41%
Doncaster C Palace 0-1 10% 24% 51%
Swansea Brentford 2-0 10% 40% 32%
Chelsea Man Utd 1-0 10% 43% 30%