There are two Championship fixtures over the next two evenings, starting with QPR v West Brom tonight. QPR are on a run of 5 straight league defeats, and haven’t won in 7. This means they have dropped well out of any play-off picture. West Brom, on the other hand, could move to within a point of the automatic promotion places with a win tonight. The Model gives the away team a 43% chance of a win, and a most likely scoreline of 1-2 (8%).
Derby welcome Millwall to Pride Park tomorrow. The Rams have two games in hand on some of those around them, and need to take advantage to get back into the play-offs. The Model gives them a better than even chance of a win, 51%, and the most likely scoreline is 1-0 (13%).
Our Championship forecasts are in the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
    Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
QPR West Brom 1-2 8 30 43
Derby Millwall 1-0 13 51 24