More midweek catch-up in the lower leagues. Five 1-0 home wins tonight in League One according to The Model, and all do genuinely look like home bankers.

Forecast Win (%)
League One Score PR(%) P(H) P(A)
Accrington Oxford 1-0 14% 42% 30%
Barnsley Burton 1-0 17% 59% 18%
Portsmouth Bristol R 1-0 16% 50% 24%
Rochdale AFC Wim 1-0 12% 42% 31%
Sunderland Gillingham 1-0 12% 60% 18%

In League Two the games come thick and fast for Paul Scholes’s Oldham. The Model doesn’t think this will affect them as they face Morecambe at Boundary Park. Another crunch match for improving Notts County too. Can they get off the bottom of the Football League?

Forecast Win (%)
League Two Score PR(%) P(H) P(A)
Cheltenham Cambridge U 1-0 13% 45% 28%
Notts Co Newport Co 0-1 11% 34% 38%
Oldham Morecambe 2-0 11% 59% 18%
Port Vale Tranmere 0-1 18% 33% 39%