It’s the second legs of the Champions League last sixteen matches over the next couple of weeks. Tonight poor old Tottenham take a 3-0 lead to Dortmund, and Real Madrid take on Ajax with a 2-1 lead from the first leg. Both are expected to progress, Tottenham despite a 2-1 defeat (9%), and Real with a further 2-0 win (13%).
| Forecast | Win (%) | |||||
| Score | PR(%) | P(H) | P(A) | |||
| Tues | Dortmund | Tottenham | 2-1 | 9% | 40% | 33% |
| Tues | R Madrid | Ajax | 2-0 | 13% | 58% | 19% |
| Weds | PSG | Man Utd | 1-0 | 12% | 45% | 28% |
| Weds | Porto | Roma | 2-1 | 10% | 50% | 25% |
Again we go up against Jean-Louis Foulley (JLF), and we agree that Real will win 2-0, and that PSG will finish off Man United with a 1-0 win tomorrow night, but disagree on Dortmund and Porto – JLF thinks Roma will progress after their 2-1 first leg win, while The Model thinks Porto will take it to penalties…
| Foulley | F-Score | P(R) | P(H) | P(A) | |
| Dortmund | Tottenham | 1-1 | 12% | 40% | 34% |
| Real Madrid | Ajax | 2-0 | 12% | 72% | 11% |
| Porto | Roma | 1-1 | 11% | 52% | 24% |
| PSG | Man Utd | 1-0 | 11% | 55% | 21% |