Name that Championship stadium…
A rainy Tuesday night in March as we enter the business end of the season. The relegation picture in the Championship is exciting, as there are 5 teams within 7 points of each other, fighting to stay out of the last two relegation places (assuming Ipswich are gone). Nobody wants to drop into the 2nd half of the National Football League – that is where teams go to rot.
Reading have had an indifferent season, verging on poor, and are one of those teams in danger of relegation. Tonight they take on Leeds at the Madejski. The Model gives Reading a fair chance of a win at home (33%), but Leeds are still favourites (39%), and the most likely outcome is 0-1 (14%).
Bolton (yes it is their stadium in the banner image – named whatever it is now) are at home tonight against Sheffield Wednesday. This is surely a good opportunity for them to claw back some ground towards safety. The Model has them at 29% for the win. But the forecast scoreline outcome is 0-1 (16%) — a home defeat.
The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Blackburn Wigan 1-0 13 50 24
Bolton Sheffield Wed 0-1 16 29 44
Bristol City Ipswich 1-0 17 63 16
Reading Leeds 0-1 14 33 39
Sheff Utd Brentford 1-0 11 51 23
Birmingham Millwall 1-0 15 52 23
Derby Stoke 1-0 17 53 22
Middlesbrough Preston 1-0 17 42 31
Norwich Hull 2-1 9 59 18
Notts Forest Aston Villa 1-0 14 49 25
QPR Rotherham 1-0 12 52 23
West Brom Swansea 2-0 12 55 21