The inevitable finally happened, and Ole got the top job at Man Utd. But now the “interim manager” effect is gone, and the buck really does stop with him. Will this affect the apparent warm glow around Utd and their on-field performances? Now he has the power to sell, buy and argue about money with his players, will things change? Utd host Watford this weekend, and the Model suggests this is one for Ole to relax into the role of manager of the “world’s biggest club”. Utd have a 58% chance of a win, and the most likely scoreline is 2-0 (10%).
The noisy neighbours in Manchester are still on for the quadruple. This puts into perspective how far City have left Utd behind. If they win their remaining possible games this season, then Man City will probably make history by securing every major trophy in one season. This weekend it should be a regulation 3 points, as they travel to struggling Fulham. The Model gives City a 73% chance of a win, and the most likely scoreline is 0-3 (9%).
The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts for Round 32 of the Premier League:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw