Points on the board makes Liverpool favourites for the title according to our Model. But every game is a must-win now, including a tricky trip from Chelsea this weekend. The Model gives Liverpool a 60% chance of victory, and predicts the most likely outcome will be 1-0 (15%).
Title rivals Manchester City also have a potential banana skin to overcome, travelling to Selhurst Park to take on Crystal Palace. The Model gives City similar chances of a win as Liverpool this weekend, 62%. The forecast scoreline outcome is 0-1 (14%).
There is a catch-up fixture from Round 31 on Tuesday night. Cardiff are probably destined for relegation if they lose this one. The Model makes Brighton strong favourites, with a 55% chance of a win, and the most likely outcome is 1-0 (13%).
The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts for Round 34 of the Premier League, and one fixture in R31
|Manchester Utd||West Ham||1-0||12||64||15|
|Crystal Palace||Manchester City||0-1||14||16||62|
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw