RED, the University of Reading Scorecasting Model (and pick your own acronym…), continues to churn out forecasts for less important football matches, despite it’s new-found fame. It has given us the following forecasts for R43 (19 April) of the English Championship:
Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
Birmingham | Derby | 1-0 | 11 | 42 | 31 |
Bolton | Aston Villa | 0-1 | 17 | 17 | 61 |
Bristol City | Reading | 1-0 | 15 | 55 | 21 |
Leeds | Wigan | 1-0 | 16 | 63 | 16 |
Middlesbrough | Stoke | 1-0 | 24 | 47 | 26 |
Millwall | Brentford | 1-0 | 14 | 42 | 31 |
Norwich | Sheff Wed | 2-1 | 10 | 59 | 18 |
Preston | Ipswich | 1-0 | 15 | 62 | 16 |
QPR | Blackburn | 1-0 | 11 | 41 | 31 |
Sheff Utd | Notts Forest | 1-0 | 15 | 60 | 18 |
Swansea | Rotherham | 1-0 | 14 | 56 | 20 |
West Brom | Hull | 2-1 | 9 | 54 | 22 |
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw