Should we have adjusted to the unexpected nature of League Two this season? Last season’s strugglers Grimsby and Cheltenham doing well? Arguably, RED has.
Grimsby are 47.4% to beat last season’s promotion challengers and this season’s strugglers Mansfield, and 1-0 is the most likely score (13%), but the bookmakers still slightly favour Mansfield.
Equally, Cheltenham are 41.5% to win at Oldham according to RED, yet the bookmakers have them at 33%. A 1-0 away win has a 10.2% probability of happening.
Indeed, it’s a home banker of a weekend in League One. The only visiting side with a higher expected goals total than their hosts is Cheltenham.