Oldham parted with money and signed a striker with a proven record of scoring goals this week. After five games without a win, Oldham could do with picking up three points against fellow strugglers Carlisle United.
Oldham and Carlisle, as the plot below shows, have experienced, or suffered, a similar trajectory over recent years, especially since 2018, and are both at a low ebb. Two teams with miserable records (19th vs 22nd, six wins each all season, very negative goal differences).
Recent results have gone Carlisle’s way, but both RED and the bookies think it might be different tomorrow – both putting Oldham’s chances of winning at just above 40%.