RED’s been hard at work producing end-of-season probabilities – who is going to do what? After the Premier League and the Championship, RED found a colour palette, and produced outcome probabilities for League Two:


The more warmer, the more likely. Surprisingly, league leaders Swindon aren’t nailed on to win the league – instead it’s second placed, but in-form Exeter City (36.8%).

At the bottom, Morecambe look in trouble, and have a 43.9% chance of falling out of the Football League. Stevenage, level on points with Morecambe after just their third win of the season last week, are at 25.3%.

Points deducted Macclesfield are 5.5% to drop out of the Football League – assuming no further points deductions.