Are things starting to take shape? In League One, big boys Wigan have started with two defeats, so have defeated play-off finalists Oxford, while favourites Portsmouth have only drawn their…Read More >
Month: September 2020
Premier League Week 3
Last week in the Premier League produced the highest scoring weekend, where 10 matches were played. https://www.premierleague.com/news/1837431 Can the high scoring weekend be repeated? Well, there are quite a few…Read More >
Lower League End-of-season Forecasts
We plan to issue regular end-of-season forecasts this season. Not least, because that’s what all fans are ultimately bothered about – what each match means for their chances of going…Read More >
End-of-season forecasts, Premier League
We posted our pre-season forecasts here, and the stand out pick was Everton for relegation. Models are only a function of the data going into them, and for our slimmed…Read More >
Championship Week 3
In the Championship this week, despite teams playing to an empty stadium, it looks like home teams seem to have an edge overall. The only away result in week 3…Read More >
End-of-season forecasts, Championship, September 24
Being Reading-based economists, we’re delighted to see that Reading have made a strong start to the season – two wins out of two, highly unexpected too. Well, the Barnsley win…Read More >
Week 2, Premier League
This week sees the Manchester teams return to Premiership action, as well as Burnley and Aston Villa. Of the two, United look more likely to win at home to Palace…Read More >
Lower Divisions, Game Week 2, 19-20 Sept
The second strangest season ever (last season stranger, at least for now) continues today in English football’s lower leagues. Some pilot trials are running with up to a thousand fans…Read More >
Week 2 Championship
This is a week in the Championship that seems to just about favour the home teams (exceptions being Bournemouth and it’s very close but also Millwall). As things kick off…Read More >
Lower League Forecasts, Opening Weekend, September 12-13
Football Leagues One and Two return to action today – the first time these divisions have played without fans. Evidence suggests it won’t make that much difference to outcomes… Here…Read More >