In this strange season, the first international break has arrived, which has caused a small amount of schedule change in League One that our “Supercomputer” hasn’t been able to make sense of – Blackpool’s game with Ipswich being brought earlier due to Charlton and Sunderland postponing their matches with Ipswich and Blackpool respectively due to the international break.
One match has already taken place, Fleetwood thrashing Hull 4-1 last night. The bookies were taken aback by this, though we had Fleetwood 57% for the win. For what it’s worth, there are similar disagreements for Gillingham’s game with Oxford (we think Gills, bookies think Oxford), and Northampton’s game with Peterborough (we think it’ll be closer than the bookies who strongly fancy Peterborough).
In League Two, Morecambe have had a fine start. But neither the model (17.5%) nor the bookies (28.6%) think they’ll continue with that at winless Oldham, who only have their single point thanks to a last-minute equaliser at Colchester. Maybe I need to place a bet on this, given the inevitable disappointment come 5pm…
