It looks like there should be quite a few draws as the likely result this week in the Championship and not many away wins (see the ‘Score Picks, Most’ section).

On expected goals though, a bunch of teams stand out – Bournemouth, Blackburn, Brentford and Swansea all expected to out-score their opponents from whatever home advantage there is with no crowds. Brentford v Coventry though is predicted to be a draw (see Score Picks, ‘Most’), although if there is a win (see ‘Cond’ in the Score Picks section), then it will be a win for Brentford).

Bookmakers broadly agree with our model, with Derby v Watford, Luton v Stoke City, Rotherham v Norwich, the exceptions where our model predicts wins for the home team and they predict away wins.