A full set of fixtures in League Two sees a West(ish) Country Derby between Cheltenham and Swindon, where RED and the bookmakers differ significantly on their view of the game….Read More >
Category: Lower League Forecasts
Oldham Narrative – Off the Bottom
RED understands football, and so understands that allegiances don’t disappear even when your team hits rock bottom. As such, RED declares its solidarity with the fans of Bury Football Club…Read More >
League One, Round 5 (August 24)
League One continues. Though not if you’re a Bury fan, or a Portsmouth or Rotherham fan. Bury can thank their owner and the EFL, whereas Portsmouth and Rotherham fans can…Read More >
League Two, Round 3 (August 17)
Two of the three teams that have won both of their matches so far meet on Saturday in League Two – Exeter and Swindon. The bookies see it as too…Read More >
League One, Round 3 (August 17)
League One reaches gameweek 3, except if you’re Bury, who have had yet another match postponed. Sunderland face another blockbuster tie against another ex-Premier League team as they host 2008…Read More >
League Two, Round 1 (August 3)
Following on from RED’s League One forecasts, for League Two we are also experimenting with presenting more information. RED uses a Poisson regression model to generate expected goals for each team…Read More >
League One, Round 1 (August 3)
The Football League has begun for 2019/2020 with an exciting score draw at Kenilworth Road featuring two teams that have undergone significant changes over the summer, and will continue to…Read More >
Lower League Play Offs, First Legs (May 9-12)
The playoffs have arrived. Who can make it up still? Tight, nervy games. RED thinks all four lower league first legs will be single-goal affairs, starting tonight at Mansfield, with…Read More >
Lower Leagues, R46 (May 4)
Well, it’s come down to the wire. If you’re Doncaster or Peterborough, or Wimbledon, Southend, Plymouth, Walsall or Scunthorpe, or Newport, Exeter, Colchester, Carlisle or Stevenage, or Macclesfield or Notts…Read More >
League Two, R45 (April 27)
Continuing to split the lower leagues up for the final few matches, in this post we look at League Two. The final two automatic promotion places remain up for grabs,…Read More >