The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 29 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Premier League
Premier League, R28 (28 Feb – 1 Mar) — Canaries have 32% chance tonight of (fatally?) wounding the Foxes push for 2nd.
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 28 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Premier League, R27 (22-24 Feb) — Econometric Model gives Chelsea 42% chance of beating Spurs
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 27 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Premier League, R26 (part 2) (14-17 Feb) — Wolves favourites to beat Leicester tonight, with 43% chance of the win.
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 26 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Premier League, R26 (part 1) (8-9 Feb) — Model gives West Ham 12% chance at City, compared with 4% by the bookies
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 26 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
Premier League, R25 (1-2 Feb): Model gives Leicester 47% chance of win against Chelsea. Man City have 47% chance of 3 points away at Spurs.
The table below gives the Model’s forecasts for Round 25 of the Premier League, along with forecast probabilities estimated from current online bookmaker odds. Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model…Read More >
English Premier League Final Table Simulations, Winter Transfer Deadline Day Update 2019/20
The University of Reading’s Scorecasting Model has crunched the numbers to look at how this season’s Premier League is most likely to end. Based on 1000 simulations of the Model…Read More >
English Premier League Final Table Simulations, January 2019/20
The University of Reading’s Scorecasting Model has crunched the numbers to look at how this season’s Premier League is most likely to end. Based on 1000 simulations of the Model…Read More >
Premier League, R24 (21-23 Jan): Rashford-less Utd have 55% chance of a win against Burnley, according to Scorecasting Model.
Manchester Utd are apparently in trouble, and face a tough end to the season without their star man Rashford. Tomorrow night Utd face Burnley at Old Trafford. The Model gives…Read More >
Premier League, R23 (18-19 Jan): Scorecasting Model makes Watford favourites against Spurs in the early kick-off
Spurs have been patchy since ‘the special one’ took charge, and the rest of their season is unlikely to be helped by a long-term injury to their premium goalscorer. This…Read More >