October 2011

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Alan Renwick

With the publication yesterday of the Scottish Boundary Commission’s proposals for Scotland’s 52 new Westminster constituencies, we have had a fresh round of speculation as to who is in and who is out, and which sitting MPs will need to fight against each other for their party’s nomination.  This adds to all the similar talk that followed publication of the English Boundary Commission’s initial recommendations last month.

Such tittle-tattle is all very interesting for MPs and the gossips of the Westminster village, but it hides two much more fundamental points.

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Patrick Porter

A few of us in the Politics/IR Department at Reading were asked to summarise the major results and effects of the war in Afghanistan for its tenth anniversary. I should have talked more about the overall economic crisis that the war on terror has accelerated, but anyway:

Last Friday was the 10th anniversary of the US-led invasion of Afghanistan. But it is not the anniversary of the start of the war between the United States, the Al Qaeda network, and the Taliban. The armed struggle can be dated earlier to Osama Bin Laden’s fatwa and unilateral declaration of war on the US in August 1996. After Bin Laden was evicted from Sudan, he found sanctuary in Afghanistan by buying the Taliban regime that became host.

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Christina Hellmich

 

“The drone strike in Yemen that killed Anwar al-Awlaki, the American voice of al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula, eliminated one of Islamic radicalism’s most persuasive recruiters and propagandists.”

Bloomberg, 30/09/11l

 

“Senior al-Qaeda leader Anwar al-Awlaki and another America-born militant were killed in Yemen early Friday morning by a CIA-led U.S. drone strike, marking the highest-profile takedown of terror leaders since the raid on Osama bin Ladin’s compound.” 

Fox News, 30/09/11

 

“Muslim cleric Anwar al-Awlaki — an American whose fluency in English and technology made him one of the top terrorist recruiters in the world — was killed Friday in a U.S. drone strike in Yemen.”

CNN

 

 

Amidst the growing controversy over the US’s use of unmanned drones in the fight against al-Qa’ida in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) in Yemen, the announcement of the killing of US-born radical cleric Anwar al-Awlaki on 30 September 2011 sounds like ‘good news at last’, offering solid proof that the ends justify the means. At first sight, it seems difficult to deny the benefit of eliminating the man who allegedly inspired a number of recent attacks, including the shooting of 13 at Fort Hood, the failed attempt to blow up a Detroit-bound plane on Christmas Day 2009, and the stabbing of British MP Stephen Timms. Yet while his death is widely perceived as another success in the controversial fight against terror, it is unlikely to have a long-term impact on the workings of AQAP. As an ideologue, Awlaki played at most a marginal role in the operational proceedings of AQAP. Moreover, his message of virulent anti-Americanism inspiring individuals to attack the US and its interests was not monopolized by him but has been, and continues to be, communicated by others based in Yemen through a variety of traditional and non-traditional channels. In other words, Awlaki’s message is destined to stay. Indeed, if the strength of AQAP depends on its ability to win supporters and mobilize individuals into carrying out attacks, the latest increase of US-led attacks on Yemeni soil plays into the hands of AQAP’s recruiters by providing them with easy propaganda and hence ensures that AQAP remains a force to be reckoned with.

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