Monthly Archives: February 2020

Building a predictive framework for studying causality in complex systems

By: Nachiketa Chakraborty I’m Nachiketa Chakraborty, a postdoctoral researcher working on the ERC project CUNDA (Causality under Non-linear Data Assimilation) led by Peter Jan van Leeuwen. My central goal is to come up with a Bayesian framework for studying causal … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, data assimilation, Oceans | Leave a comment

Rainfall decline over Eastern Africa linked to shorter wet seasons

By: Caroline Wainwright 2019 was a year of extremes for East Africa. The long rains (March-May) started late and low rainfall during the season exacerbated the drought conditions following the dry short rains (October-December) in 2018. Conversely, the short rains … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Climate, Climate change, Rainfall | Leave a comment

From Indonesia to the British Isles: using El Niño and weather patterns in the tropics to help predict North Atlantic and European weather

By: Robert Lee The winter weather in the UK and Europe can be split into different patterns based on the large-scale flow in the atmosphere. A commonly used method is to use a type of machine learning algorithm – a … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, ENSO, Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), Predictability, subseasonal forecasting | Leave a comment

Desert Dust in the Atmosphere: Giant Particles, Giant Consequences?

By: Claire Ryder As I write, storm Gloria decays over the Mediterranean Sea, while large amounts of desert dust whipped up by strong winds over the Sahara desert have been whirled in to action by Gloria and remain in the … Continue reading

Posted in Aerosols, Climate, Climate modelling | Leave a comment