Forecast West Africa by Dr. Bunny Rabbit

By: Paul-Arthur Monerie


*“Forecast” stands here for the projection of changes in precipitation at the end of the 21st century (a 40-year period average, between 2060 and 2099) relative to the end of the 20th century (1960-1999), in summer (JAS) and for an ensemble of CMIP6 simulations.

(1*) Monerie, P.-A., Wainwright, C. M., Sidibe, M. & Akinsanola, A. A. Model uncertainties in climate change impacts on Sahel precipitation in ensembles of CMIP5 and CMIP6 simulations. Clim. Dyn. 55, 1385–1401 (2020).

(2*) Eyring, V. et al. Overview of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6) experimental design and organization. Geosci. Model Dev. 9, 1937–1958 (2016). 2016

(3*) Monerie, P.-A., Sanchez-Gomez, E., Gaetani, M., Mohino, E. & Dong, B. Future evolution of the Sahel precipitation zonal contrast in CESM1. Clim. Dyn. (2020).

(4*) Monerie, P.-A., Pohl, B. & Gaetani, M. The fast response of Sahel precipitation to climate change allows effective mitigation action. npj Clim. Atmos. Sci. 4, 24 (2021).

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