Category Archives: Rainfall

What Does A Probability Of Rainfall Mean?

By: Tom Frame Here is a question that you may think has a simple answer – but surveys have often indicated people misinterpret it. So why is this question difficult to answer? This blog entry is about why the probability … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, Rainfall, Statistics, Weather | Leave a comment

Finding the skill of forecasts of extreme precipitation in Southeast Asia

By: Samantha Ferrett Forecasting weather in Southeast Asia Southeast (SE) Asia is prone to high‐impact weather and is often subject to flooding and landslides as a result of heavy rainfall. Just last month Indonesia was hit by heavy rainfall that … Continue reading

Posted in Numerical modelling, Rainfall, Weather forecasting | Leave a comment

Sunshine, cracks, fly-tipping, aphids: Phew, what a May!

By: Roger Brugge Those spending more time in their gardens and in local parks and woods in and around Reading due to the current lockdown situation will have noticed how the ground surface had been resembling the look and feel … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, Rainfall, Weather | Leave a comment

Understanding the role of climate change in the 2018 Kerala floods.

By: Kieran Hunt & Arathy Menon These days, when a weather-related catastrophe occurs, one of the first questions raised in the aftermath is “did this happen because of climate change?”. Because of the stochastic and chaotic nature of weather, it is … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, Flooding, Monsoons, Rainfall | Leave a comment

Meiyu—Baiu—Changma Rains

By: Amulya Chevuturi The arrival of the summer monsoon rains over southern China is called Meiyu, literally translated as “plum rains”. These are also called Baiu in Japan and Changma in Korea. As the monsoon progresses, these rain belts first occur … Continue reading

Posted in ENSO, Monsoons, Rainfall | Leave a comment

Rainfall decline over Eastern Africa linked to shorter wet seasons

By: Caroline Wainwright 2019 was a year of extremes for East Africa. The long rains (March-May) started late and low rainfall during the season exacerbated the drought conditions following the dry short rains (October-December) in 2018. Conversely, the short rains … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Climate, Climate change, Rainfall | Leave a comment

North Atlantic post-tropical cyclones

By Alexander Baker Figure 1: The 2017 North Atlantic hurricane season. Ophelia’s location stands out from the typical tracks of North Atlantic tropical cyclones during the active 2017 season. Selected major hurricanes occurring during 2017 – Irma, Jose and Maria – … Continue reading

Posted in Climate, Climate change, Climate modelling, extratropical cyclones, Rainfall, Tropical cyclones | Leave a comment

Later Wet Seasons with More Intense Rainfall over Africa under Future Climate Change

By Caroline Dunning Rainfall is projected to change as the planet warms in response to rising concentrations of atmospheric greenhouse gases. New research indicates future changes in the timing and characteristics of the rainy seasons over Africa with important implications … Continue reading

Posted in Africa, Climate, Climate change, Climate modelling, Rainfall | Leave a comment