Category Archives: Seasonal forecasting

Impacts of climate variability and change on the energy sector: A case study for winter 2009/10

By Emma Suckling Secure and reliable energy supplies are an essential part of modern economic life. But the national and global infrastructures that deliver energy are changing rapidly in the face of new and unprecedented challenges, including the need to … Continue reading

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Forecasting the Indian monsoon

By Arathy Menon The South Asian monsoon, which brings rainfall to India and the neighbouring countries during the boreal summer season, is a major atmospheric circulation system. India receives more than 80% of its annual rainfall during the monsoon season, generally … Continue reading

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El Niño in West and Central Africa

By Chimene Daleu   What is El Niño, how often does it occur, and why is everyone so concerned this year? El Niño is the warming phase of the El Niño Southern Oscillation (ENSO). During an El Niño event, the … Continue reading

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Can we improve the way we forecast the weather in three weeks time?

By Andrew Charlton-Perez This week at the University of Reading is enhancement week and I’ve also been spending some time learning about an area of science which I don’t know so well and which is developing fast at the ECMWF … Continue reading

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What will the weather be like in 3 weeks time?

By Steve Woolnough This may seem like a silly question, and whilst weather forecasts can’t tell you if it will be raining at lunchtime three weeks from today, they may be able to tell you whether in 3 weeks it’s … Continue reading

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