Mourinho tripped up last week. Can his side afford another trip up at Watford, with Liverpool, Chelsea and Man City all looking imperious? The Model suggest this is unlikely however, and Man Utd are forecast to leave Vicarage Road with a 1-0 win.
Talking of which, Liverpool face their toughest fixture of the season so far at Wembley. Spurs this season are experimenting whether continuity rather than cash can bring success. The Model seems to like this approach too, and favours Spurs to win this one 2-1.
Fulham have seemingly started the season well, demonstrating that faith in the players who got you promoted is just sentimental claptrap. You are probably better off just buying a whole new squad. Nonetheless, the Model gives Fulham practically no chance in their visit to the Ethiad Stadium, and forecasts Manchester City to thrash them 5-0.
The rest of our Premier League forecasts are in the the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
B’mouth Leicester 1-2 9% 26% 51%
Chelsea Cardiff 3-0 11% 87% 3%
H’field C Palace 1-2 10% 16% 64%
Man City Fulham 5-0 8% 85% 1%
Newcastle Arsenal 1-2 10% 16% 63%
Tottenham Liverpool 2-1 10% 55% 22%
Watford Man Utd 0-1 10% 25% 50%
Everton West Ham 2-1 9% 45% 31%
Wolves Burnley 0-1 12% 24% 48%
So’ton Brighton 2-0 15% 75% 7%