Better late than never… The Model is getting ambitious. Tonight it is forecasting the Champions League. This is experimental, so the methods may follow later.
The rest of our Champions League forecasts are in the the table below:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
| Barcelona | PSV Eindhoven | 2-0 | 16 | 82 | 5 |
| Club Brugge | B Dortmund | 0-3 | 12 | 2 | 91 |
| Galatasaray | Lok. Moscow | 0-0 | 14 | 35 | 34 |
| Inter | Tottenham | 0-1 | 20 | 15 | 58 |
| Liverpool | Paris St-G. | 2-1 | 9 | 65 | 18 |
| Monaco | Atl Madrid | 0-0 | 15 | 27 | 41 |
| Red Star | Napoli | 0-1 | 22 | 16 | 53 |
| Schalke | Porto | 0-1 | 18 | 23 | 45 |
| Ajax | AEK Athens | 1-0 | 15 | 45 | 26 |
| Benfica | B Munich | 0-2 | 11 | 13 | 69 |
| Man City | Lyon | 2-0 | 17 | 77 | 6 |
| Real Madrid | Roma | 3-0 | 8 | 84 | 6 |
| Shakhtar | Hoffenheim | 1-0 | 20 | 50 | 19 |
| Valencia | Juventus | 0-1 | 23 | 11 | 62 |
| Viktoria Plzen | CSKA Mosc. | 1-2 | 9 | 18 | 64 |
| Young Boys | Man Utd | 0-2 | 10 | 16 | 65 |