Formerly free-scoring Peterborough are looking to get their fading strong start back on track this weekend. With just one win in five, after winning six of the first seven, Posh are three points behind leaders Portsmouth now. By the end of the weekend, it could be five points, as Portsmouth are expected to win 1-0 at AFC Wimbledon (17%), while Peterborough are expected to draw at improving Scunthorpe. While the likelihood of a 1-1 draw is only 2%, Peterborough have only a 35% chance of winning to Scunthorpe’s 36%, making a closely fought draw the most likely outcome.

Forecast Win (%)
League One Score PR(%) P(H) P(A)
Accrington Bradford 1-0 15% 50% 23%
AFC W’don Portsmouth 0-1 17% 28% 44%
Barnsley Luton 2-0 13% 49% 24%
Burton Bristol R 1-0 14% 45% 27%
Coventry Wycombe 0-0 43% 36% 35%
Fleetwood Shrewsbury 1-0 21% 45% 27%
Gillingham Southend 1-1 11% 34% 37%
Oxford Plymouth 1-1 12% 39% 32%
Rochdale Doncaster 1-1 8% 39% 32%
Scunthorpe Peterboro 1-1 2% 36% 35%
Sunderland Blackpool 1-0 15% 44% 28%
Walsall Charlton 1-0 6% 45% 27%

In League Two, the Football League’s most miserly away defence is expected to continue its fine record. Oldham have only conceded one goal on their travels all season, and they are expected to win 2-0 at Notts County (11%). Forest Green, the scorers of that single goal, are expected to retain their impressive unbeaten record with a 1-0 win at Northampton (8%).

Forecast Win (%)
League Two Score PR(%) P(H) P(A)
Cambridge MK Dons 0-1 13% 25% 47%
Carlisle M’cambe 1-0 11% 55% 20%
Chelt’nham Yeovil 0-1 13% 29% 43%
Colchester Crawley 3-2 1.4% 48% 25%
Crewe Bury 1-1 11% 36% 35%
Exeter Swindon 1-0 2% 51% 22%
Mansfield Grimsby 1-0 15% 50% 23%
Newport Co Stevenage 1-0 2.4% 42% 30%
N’hampton F Green 0-1 8% 31% 40%
Notts Co Oldham 0-2 11% 31% 40%
Port Vale Lincoln 0-2 13% 27% 45%
Tranmere Macc’field 1-0 8% 52% 22%