QPR kick the weekend off at home to Aston Villa. Both sides have only fairly recently traded Premier League glamour for middling the Championship table, with neither realistic candidates to return to the “Big Time”. The Model forecasts a tight affair, with a 1-0 home win the most likely outcome.
Reading are having a glum season. They seem to be suffering in the 2nd half of games, straight after the break, leading to speculation that something is going wrong within the dressing room. The Model forecasts that Swansea will beat Reading 1-0 (23%) on Saturday. With the goal sure to come in the 1st half now that Scorecasting Economists have also highlighted Reading’s tendency to concede in the 2nd half of games…
The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the the table below:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
| QPR | Aston Villa | 1-0 | 8 | 40 | 32 |
| Middlesbrough | Derby | 1-0 | 24 | 42 | 30 |
| Birmingham | Sheffield Wed | 1-0 | 20 | 43 | 29 |
| Bolton | Hull | 0-0 | 29 | 39 | 33 |
| Bristol City | Stoke | 1-0 | 15 | 41 | 31 |
| Millwall | Ipswich | 1-0 | 21 | 47 | 26 |
| Norwich | Brentford | 1-0 | 6 | 44 | 28 |
| Preston | Rotherham | 2-0 | 14 | 50 | 23 |
| Sheff Utd | Wigan | 1-0 | 14 | 47 | 25 |
| Swansea | Reading | 1-0 | 23 | 50 | 23 |
| West Brom | Blackburn | 2-0 | 12 | 52 | 22 |
| Leeds | Notts Forest | 1-0 | 18 | 44 | 28 |