Championship, R16 (2-4 Nov, 2018)

Rotherham are surely meeting preseason expectations, sitting just above the relegation zone with 14 points from the first 15 matches. They are unbeaten in their last 3 games, but haven’t won in 8. The Model suggests one of those records will go this weekend, predicting a 0-1 (20%) defeat to visitors Swansea.
Derby’s form has been indifferent so far this season, never really getting a run going, and being distracted by their exploits in the Carabao Cup. Birmingham are the visitors to Pride Park this weekend. The Model clearly likes Derby’s squad depth since it forecasts a win to the Rams, 1-0 (12%), despite their midweek exploits.
The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the the table below:

• The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
• The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw