About time… though credit where credit is due: this England manager is giving chances to players based on form, and isn’t only wedded to big names from big clubs. Callum Wilson’s Bournemouth make the long trip to Newcastle this weekend. The Magpies are off the mark now. The Model forecasts a dull 0-0 in this one, with a whopping 26% chance of that happening.
Fulham look to be in dire straits, and despite their disappointing performance in Serbia midweek, you wouldn’t bet against Liverpool at Anfield. Nor would the Model: 2-0 (12%).
Did I forget something… just the small matter of the Manchester derby. (The 2nd biggest local derby game in professional football – it ought to have a name to rival the Clasico. The Manc?). Despite their heroics in Italy, and overcoming Bournemouth (the better team) last weekend, the Model only gives Utd a 17% chance of victory. The forecast scoreline is 1-0 (13%).
The the table below:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
|Manchester City||Manchester Utd||1-0||13||59||17|