Birmingham City have experienced Championship mediocrity for the past 7 seasons, never really threatening promotion since dropping into the League in 2011. Local rivals Aston Villa sit just above them in the table this season. The Second City derby on Sunday at Villa park is sure to have drama, being one of the fiercest rivalries in England. The Model suggests Villa are clear favourites, and forecasts a scoreline of 2-0 (15%).
It is currently Norwich City’s turn to lead the Championship this season. No team yet has built up any kind of margin over the chasing pack. The Canaries face a difficult trip to Swansea this weekend, and therefore you wouldn’t bet on a new side topping the table by Monday. The Model forecasts a 1-0 (21%) win to the Swans.
The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the the table below:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
| Ipswich | West Brom | 0-1 | 11 | 26 | 47 |
| Brentford | Middlesbrough | 1-1 | 13 | 38 | 33 |
| Hull | Notts Forest | 0-1 | 11 | 32 | 39 |
| Leeds | Bristol City | 2-1 | 7 | 54 | 21 |
| Millwall | Bolton | 1-0 | 18 | 54 | 21 |
| Preston | Blackburn | 1-0 | 19 | 41 | 31 |
| Rotherham | Sheff Utd | 0-1 | 19 | 31 | 41 |
| Sheffield Wed | Derby | 0-1 | 9 | 31 | 40 |
| Stoke | QPR | 1-0 | 18 | 47 | 26 |
| Swansea | Norwich | 1-0 | 21 | 41 | 31 |
| Wigan | Reading | 2-1 | 10 | 45 | 27 |
| Aston Villa | Birmingham | 2-0 | 15 | 43 | 29 |