The Scorecasting Model suggests this midweek round of Championship fixtures will be a lean one in terms of goals scored. According to the Model’s forecast scorelines, just 13 goals will be scored in the 12 matches.
One match which is forecast to finish goalless (13%) takes place at the Bet365 stadium, as Stoke host Derby on Wednesday night. The Rams look like promotion contenders, but their form has been too inconsistent of late, and they are just clinging on to a playoff place for now.
Swansea v West Brom was a Premier League fixture last season, with Swansea taking 4 points out of 6 from those games. Both sides are there or thereabouts in terms of the promotion picture this season, and the Model suggests it will be tough to find a winner this time around, with the forecast scoreline 1-1 (13%).
The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the the table below:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
| Brentford | Sheff Utd | 1-0 | 13 | 41 | 31 |
| Hull | Norwich | 0-1 | 11 | 29 | 43 |
| Leeds | Reading | 1-0 | 12 | 58 | 18 |
| Preston | Middlesbrough | 0-0 | 20 | 35 | 36 |
| Rotherham | QPR | 0-0 | 18 | 37 | 34 |
| Sheffield Wed | Bolton | 1-0 | 12 | 49 | 24 |
| Aston Villa | Notts Forest | 1-0 | 17 | 42 | 30 |
| Ipswich | Bristol City | 1-1 | 12 | 37 | 34 |
| Millwall | Birmingham | 1-1 | 11 | 38 | 33 |
| Stoke | Derby | 0-0 | 13 | 37 | 34 |
| Swansea | West Brom | 1-1 | 13 | 33 | 38 |
| Wigan | Blackburn | 1-1 | 13 | 38 | 33 |