It’s the archetypal midweek night tonight – wet and windy. Can they do it on a wet Tuesday night in <insert bleak usually northern town here>? We’ll find out this evening. The Model backs only Gillingham and Charlton to go to another place (Bristol and Burton) and “do it”, in League One, and thinks even League Two leaders won’t manage to do it at Oldham this evening, only drawing 1-1 (10%). Indeed, only Carlisle are expected to “do it” elsewhere other than at home tonight, with a 2-1 win expected at beleaguered Notts County (9%). Another John Sheridan-inspired win for Carlisle at one of his former managerial posts? Are the oldest football club about to fall out of the Football League?
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| League One | Score | PR(%) | P(H) | P(A) | |
| Accrington | Wycombe | 2-1 | 9% | 57% | 19% |
| Bristol R | Gillingham | 0-1 | 5% | 28% | 44% |
| Burton | Charlton | 1-2 | 8% | 25% | 48% |
| Doncaster | Blackpool | 1-1 | 11% | 35% | 36% |
| Fleetwood | Coventry | 1-0 | 11% | 60% | 17% |
| Luton | Bradford | 1-0 | 10% | 64% | 15% |
| Oxford | Rochdale | 2-1 | 9% | 40% | 31% |
| Peterborough | AFC Wimbledon | 2-1 | 10% | 60% | 17% |
| Portsmouth | Walsall | 1-0 | 17% | 54% | 20% |
| Shrewsbury | Plymouth | 2-1 | 9% | 52% | 22% |
| Southend | Scunthorpe | 2-1 | 8% | 43% | 29% |
| Sunderland | Barnsley | 1-0 | 11% | 45% | 27% |
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| League Two | Score | PR(%) | P(H) | P(A) | |
| Bury | Cheltenham | 1-0 | 12% | 52% | 22% |
| Crewe | Cambridge U | 2-0 | 14% | 42% | 30% |
| Exeter | Macclesfield | 2-0 | 16% | 64% | 14% |
| Forest Green | Colchester | 1-0 | 14% | 40% | 31% |
| Grimsby | Tranmere | 0-0 | 17% | 34% | 37% |
| Mansfield | Crawley | 1-0 | 16% | 58% | 18% |
| MK Dons | Morecambe | 2-0 | 16% | 61% | 16% |
| Newport Co | Northampton | 1-0 | 11% | 50% | 24% |
| Notts Co | Carlisle | 1-2 | 9% | 20% | 55% |
| Oldham | Lincoln | 1-1 | 10% | 35% | 37% |
| Swindon | Stevenage | 1-0 | 12% | 55% | 20% |
| Yeovil | Port Vale | 1-0 | 22% | 44% | 28% |