It is the Merseyside derby on Sunday – city bragging rights really hinge on this one, comparable to the other massive global football derby matches in the “two-big-team” cities (Buenos Aires, Glasgow, Madrid, Manchester, Buenos Aires, Milan). Liverpool remain unbeaten and are genuine title contenders. Everton sit in 6th place, ahead of Man Utd, and have ambitions of finishing in the coveted top 4 come next May. The Scorecasting Model favours the red half of the city, giving them a 55% chance of victory, with the forecast scoreline 1-0 (16%).
Huddersfield shocked Wolves and the oddsmakers last weekend. Already this early in the season, if they beat relegation again it would be ta “Great Escape” once more, especially when you compare squads and wage budgets with the likes of Fulham and Southampton. This weekend the Terriers host Brighton & Hove Albion, who haven’t won in their last 3 games. The Model thinks Huddersfield have the better chance of victory, but also that the game will be close, and so the forecast scoreline is 0-0 (16%).
The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
    Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Arsenal Spurs 2-1 7 40 32
Crystal Palace Burnley 1-0 12 49 24
Cardiff Wolves 0-0 22 35 36
Chelsea Fulham 2-0 9 68 13
Huddersfield Brighton 0-0 16 39 32
Leicester Watford 1-0 10 41 30
Liverpool Everton 1-0 19 55 20
Manchester City Bournemouth 3-0 14 70 12
Newcastle West Ham 1-0 16 47 26
Southampton Manchester Utd 0-1 15 32 40