Christmas is here and football is ubiquitous. Leeds Utd may top the table, and have won 5 on the bounce, but the Model still gives Aston Villa the edge on Sunday, with a 42% chance of victory, and a forecast scoreline of 1-0 (11%) to the Villa.
Ipswich prop up the table now and are likley to do so going in to the New Year. In fact, the Model now gives them a 76% chance of relegation this season. They host Sheffield Utd this weekend, and the most likely scoreline is an away win to the Blades: 0-1 (17%).
The rest of our Championship forecasts are in the the table below:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
| Blackburn | Norwich | 1-1 | 12 | 33 | 38 |
| Brentford | Bolton | 1-0 | 14 | 55 | 20 |
| Derby | Bristol City | 1-0 | 12 | 52 | 22 |
| Hull | Swansea | 0-0 | 15 | 38 | 33 |
| Ipswich | Sheff Utd | 0-1 | 17 | 29 | 43 |
| Notts Forest | QPR | 1-0 | 15 | 48 | 24 |
| Reading | Middlesbrough | 0-0 | 13 | 33 | 39 |
| Rotherham | West Brom | 0-1 | 13 | 25 | 48 |
| Sheffield Wed | Preston | 1-2 | 6 | 32 | 40 |
| Stoke | Millwall | 1-0 | 10 | 54 | 21 |
| Wigan | Birmingham | 1-1 | 13 | 33 | 38 |
| Aston Villa | Leeds | 1-0 | 11 | 42 | 30 |