Despite the world’s attention being on the FA cup this weekend, there are still Championship fixtures taking place (involving generally mediocre teams).
Ipswich are as good as relegated already, and have been for a couple of months now. Today the Tractor Boys welcome Stoke to Portman Road. Do us a favour and smash them please, Ipswich! Alas, the Model is more objective, and reckons Ipswich will struggle as ever this season, with only a 32% chance of victory (though I bet most fans would snap your hand off at that), and a most likely scoreline of 0-1 (21%).
The other two sides in the drop zone are also playing today. Both are at home and desperate for a win. Bolton only have a 24% chance against Norwich, whereas Rotherham have a 35% chance of beating the Owls.
Our Championship forecasts are in the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
    Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Aston Villa West Brom 1-1 9 36 36
Bolton Norwich 0-1 16 24 50
Ipswich Stoke 0-1 21 32 40
Preston Notts Forest 1-0 17 48 26
Rotherham Sheffield Wed 0-1 10 35 38
Sheff Utd Reading 2-0 14 59 18
Blackburn Middlesbrough 0-0 14 36 36