Four championship fixtures slipped under the Model’s radar tonight. Or more precisely, although the Model noticed and spat out some forecasts, its handlers were oblivious. Nonetheless those forecasts are below.
The Model would have gotten 2 correct results out of 4, as well as one correct scoreline, which would have been a pretty good outcome, as far as these things tend to go.
Our (ex post) Championship forecasts are in the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
    Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Bristol City Birmingham 1-0 10 49 25
Hull Millwall 2-1 9 44 29
QPR Leeds 1-2 8 32 41
Sheffield Wed Brentford 2-1 8 39 34