Eleven games remain, more or less. Who will cement that automatic promotion spot this weekend with another win? Can struggling mid-tablers retain faint play-off hopes with a win? Can marooned basement dwellers renew hope amongst their fans with a rare win?
The model seems to think yes (Luton, Barnsley, Bury), yes (Burton, Fleetwood, Swindon, Oldham, Newport), and yes (Notts County). It should be an interesting weekend…
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| League One | Score | PR(%) | P(H) | P(A) | |
| Accrington | Coventry | 1-0 | 16% | 41% | 31% |
| Bristol R | Blackpool | 1-0 | 15% | 39% | 33% |
| Burton | Walsall | 1-0 | 12% | 55% | 20% |
| Doncaster | Charlton | 1-0 | 10% | 44% | 29% |
| Fleetwood | Gillingham | 1-0 | 10% | 51% | 24% |
| Luton | Rochdale | 1-0 | 12% | 73% | 11% |
| Oxford | Scunthorpe | 2-1 | 9% | 45% | 28% |
| Peterboro | Wycombe | 1-0 | 11% | 46% | 28% |
| Portsmouth | Bradford | 1-0 | 11% | 60% | 18% |
| Shrewsbury | AFC Wimb | 1-0 | 16% | 56% | 20% |
| Southend | Barnsley | 0-1 | 13% | 25% | 49% |
| Sunderland | Plymouth | 1-0 | 13% | 59% | 18% |
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| League Two | Score | PR(%) | P(H) | P(A) | |
| Bury | Macclesfield | 2-1 | 10% | 66% | 14% |
| Crewe | N’hampton | 1-0 | 10% | 41% | 31% |
| Exeter | Tranmere | 1-0 | 14% | 47% | 26% |
| F Green | Lincoln | 1-1 | 12% | 36% | 36% |
| Grimsby | Cambridge | 1-0 | 13% | 54% | 21% |
| Mansfield | Cheltenham | 1-0 | 15% | 54% | 22% |
| MK Dons | Crawley | 1-0 | 12% | 58% | 19% |
| Newport | Carlisle | 2-1 | 8% | 37% | 35% |
| Notts Co | Port Vale | 1-0 | 13% | 41% | 32% |
| Oldham | Stevenage | 1-0 | 11% | 51% | 23% |
| Swindon | Colchester | 1-0 | 8% | 41% | 31% |
| Yeovil | Morecambe | 1-0 | 16% | 44% | 29% |