Derby need to win. Which means Wigan need to lose tonight. It’s as simple as that. Fortunately the Model’s forecasts are playing along. Derby have a 55% of victory, playing at home against the Latics. The most likely outcome is 1-0 (16%).

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw


Forecast Win (%)
    Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Derby Wigan 1-0 16 55 21