Premier League, R30 (9-10 Mar)

Unsurprisingly, Spurs and Man Utd are favourites for the top 4 and Champions League qualification. But that picture can change quickly, and the Gunners will be hoping to boost their own chances by beating a buoyant but crocked Man Utd team this Sunday. The Model has them as marginal favourites (38% for Arsenal win), and the forecast scoreline is 2-1 (9%).
According to the Model, Huddersfield have a 0.1% chance of escaping relegation. But please, Terriers, prove it wrong! To do so, you imagine they must get 3 points this weekend at home to Bournemouth. The Model suggests this is a stiff ask, and the most likely outcomes are an away win (41%), and a scoreline of 0-1 (17%).
The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts for Round 30 of the Premier League:

• The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
• The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw