It’s a reduced Premier League programme this weekend, as some teams are distracted by the FA Cup.
He says he could write a book about van Dijk’s skills, but would anybody read it? Liverpool have the perfect chance to pile the pressure on title rivals City. The Model suggests Liverpool have a 70% chance of a win away at Fulham, and the most likely scoreline outcome is 0-2 (9%).
Chelsea are staying in the hunt for a top 4 place, just. But if they don’t take maximum points from Goodison, then they would have wasted their game in hand. The Model says this game will be fairly close, with Chelsea having a 47% chance of beating Everton, and the most likely outcome is 1-2 (8%).
The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts for half of Round 31 of the Premier League:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
    Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Bournemouth Newcastle 1-0 14 38 34
Burnley Leicester 2-1 9 44 29
West Ham Huddersfield 1-0 22 60 18
Everton Chelsea 1-2 8 26 47
Fulham Liverpool 0-2 9 12 70