It’s a reduced Premier League programme this weekend, as some teams are distracted by the FA Cup.
He says he could write a book about van Dijk’s skills, but would anybody read it? Liverpool have the perfect chance to pile the pressure on title rivals City. The Model suggests Liverpool have a 70% chance of a win away at Fulham, and the most likely scoreline outcome is 0-2 (9%).
Chelsea are staying in the hunt for a top 4 place, just. But if they don’t take maximum points from Goodison, then they would have wasted their game in hand. The Model says this game will be fairly close, with Chelsea having a 47% chance of beating Everton, and the most likely outcome is 1-2 (8%).
The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts for half of Round 31 of the Premier League:
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
Bournemouth | Newcastle | 1-0 | 14 | 38 | 34 |
Burnley | Leicester | 2-1 | 9 | 44 | 29 |
West Ham | Huddersfield | 1-0 | 22 | 60 | 18 |
Everton | Chelsea | 1-2 | 8 | 26 | 47 |
Fulham | Liverpool | 0-2 | 9 | 12 | 70 |