The true and greatest “Championship” in England and Wales begins today, so this Scorecasting Economist is too distracted to say much about the footballing title-name rip-off version.
Anyway… the Model’s latest April edition end of season league table forecasts suggests that most teams have something to play for. Only Brentford, Birmingham, Stoke, Blackburn and QPR, plus relegated Ipswich, might as well finish their seasons early and start focusing on the next Championship/L1 campaign.
Our Championship forecasts are in the table below:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Birmingham Leeds 0-1 9 31 42
Blackburn Stoke 1-0 19 40 33
Bolton Ipswich 1-0 18 44 29
Brentford Derby 1-0 12 44 29
Bristol City Wigan 1-0 14 60 17
Hull Reading 2-0 12 51 24
Millwall West Brom 1-2 10 29 44
Norwich QPR 2-0 11 68 13
Preston Sheff Utd 1-0 12 38 35
Rotherham Notts Forest 0-1 15 31 41
Sheffield Wed Aston Villa 1-0 10 40 32
Swansea Middlesbrough 1-0 13 45 28