There are 6 Premier League games this weekend. While not having been a memorable season in terms of quality, at least we are entering the final stages with many teams still having something significant to play for. Not least, the title is still undecided, even if it is no longer in Liverpool’s hands. To put the pressure back on Manchester City, who are in FA Cup action this weekend, Liverpool must come away from Southampton with a win tonight. Fortunately for them, the Scorecasting Model gives the Reds a 60% chance of doing just that, and the most likely outcome is 0-1 (21%).
The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts for Round 33 of the Premier League:

  • The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
  • The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw
Forecast Win (%)
Score Pr (%) P(H) P(A)
Southampton Liverpool 0-1 21 18 60
Bournemouth Burnley 2-1 9 45 29
Huddersfield Leicester 0-1 17 23 51
Newcastle Crystal Palace 1-0 11 43 30
Everton Arsenal 1-2 8 29 44
Chelsea West Ham 1-0 14 62 16