Norwich and Leeds both dropped points on Good Friday, as the potential riches of the Premier League get closer. Along with Sheffield Utd, who are also in the automatic promotion picture, these three teams all have away fixtures on Monday. RED fancies Sheffield and Norwich to win at Hull and Stoke, but the news is less good for Leeds, who face a tricky fixture at Brentford. The Model forecasts this one to end 1-0 (10%).
Derby County are just about clinging on to playoff hopes. But they absolutely must beat QPR at home on Monday. RED gives them a 57% chance of doing just that, and the most likely outcome is 1-0 (12%).
The rest of the Model’s forecasts for R44 (22 April) of the English Championship are in the table below:
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
| Aston Villa | Millwall | 1-0 | 13 | 60 | 17 |
| Blackburn | Bolton | 1-0 | 17 | 64 | 15 |
| Brentford | Leeds | 1-0 | 10 | 37 | 35 |
| Derby | QPR | 1-0 | 12 | 57 | 20 |
| Hull | Sheff Utd | 0-1 | 11 | 30 | 43 |
| Ipswich | Swansea | 0-1 | 17 | 26 | 47 |
| Notts Forest | Middlesbrough | 1-0 | 16 | 38 | 34 |
| Reading | West Brom | 0-2 | 10 | 31 | 42 |
| Rotherham | Birmingham | 0-1 | 10 | 34 | 38 |
| Sheff Wed | Bristol City | 1-0 | 11 | 41 | 31 |
| Stoke | Norwich | 0-1 | 14 | 25 | 49 |
| Wigan | Preston | 0-1 | 14 | 35 | 37 |
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw