The final round of Premier League fixtures take place on Sunday. This is typically when fans get to see a few emerging youth prospects from their clubs’ academies, before said players spend the next few seasons on loan in the lower leagues, their prospects snuffed out by spurious summer transfer activity.
But Liverpool and Man City will certainly be playing full strength sides, as the title of Premier League Champions 2018/19 is still up for grabs. City travel away to Brighton, and RED gives them only a 73% chance of a win and certainly securing the title, with a forecast scoreline of 0-1 (15%). Liverpool have a home fixture, welcoming Wolves to the scene of their midweek miraculous and emotional triumph in the Champions League. They model suggests a 69% chance of a win, with the most likely outcome 2-0 (17%).
The table below gives the rest of the Model’s forecasts for Round 38 of the Premier League.
| Forecast | Win (%) | ||||
| Score | Pr (%) | P(H) | P(A) | ||
| Brighton | Manchester City | 0-1 | 15 | 11 | 73 |
| Burnley | Arsenal | 1-2 | 9 | 30 | 42 |
| Crystal Palace | Bournemouth | 2-1 | 9 | 55 | 21 |
| Fulham | Newcastle | 0-1 | 14 | 29 | 43 |
| Leicester | Chelsea | 0-1 | 9 | 31 | 41 |
| Liverpool | Wolves | 2-0 | 17 | 69 | 13 |
| Manchester Utd | Cardiff | 2-0 | 13 | 69 | 12 |
| Southampton | Huddersfield | 1-0 | 18 | 66 | 14 |
| Spurs | Everton | 1-0 | 15 | 48 | 26 |
| Watford | West Ham | 1-0 | 10 | 48 | 26 |
- The Forecast scoreline, with the % chance of that happening
- The % chance of a win by the Home team, P(H), or Away team, P(A) (with one hundred minus those two numbers giving the % chance of a draw