Off the back of last week’s foray into Europe, RED carries on this week. The Italian season begins, too.

With such a large number of forecasts being made this season, it will be sooner that we can begin to provide forecast evaluations – which also differ due to the more probabilistic nature of RED’s forecasts this season.

All the tables below can be interpreted using the following guide:

  • Expected Goals: the forecast average number of goals the Model expects for Home and Away teams
  • Outcome Probs: the model predicted % chance of either a Home or Away win, with 100 minus these two numbers being the % chance of a draw.
  • Score Picks: the Most likely forecast scoreline outcome, as well as the most likely conditional on the most likely result outcome happening.
  • Home wins / Draws / Away wins: the predicted % chance of various potential scoreline outcomes of the match.
  • Mean odds: Estimates of online bookmakers’ average probability forecasts for the Home and Away teams to win, which could be compared with Outcome Probs.
RED’s forecasts for Germany’s Bundesliga
RED’s forecasts for Germany’s Bundesliga 2
RED’s forecasts for Spain’s La Liga
RED’s forecasts for Spain’s La Liga 2
RED’s forecasts for France’s Ligue 1
RED's forecasts for Italy's Serie A
RED’s forecasts for Italy’s Serie A