Continuing the focus on individual teams of recent weeks, and in particular Oldham, this week the Football League’s third worst team hosts Grimsby Town. Resurgent Grimsby, that is. Last season, Grimsby struggled at the wrong end of the table, but after seven games this season they are in seventh place.

How much though does past head-to-head dictate matters? Last home match Oldham faced Colchester, a miserable fixture in recent years, and lost. Last week Oldham travelled to Plymouth, a reasonably happy trip in recent years (except two years ago), and got a creditable draw.

Clutching at straws, Grimsby last scored at Boundary Park over 360 playing minutes ago, back in 1997, and in that time Oldham have scored eleven.

Forecasting is all about extrapolating historical patterns. Some are more reliable than others though…