Brunton Park is not a happy hunting ground for Oldham. One win in six visits going back to January 2011, and last year’s 6-0 Boxing Day hammering that saw the end of Frank Bunn’s tenure at Boundary Park. Carlisle are only a point and two positions better off than Oldham, and indeed Oldham retain a higher Elo rating than Carlisle. But RED and the bookmakers are agreed that Carlisle are favourites on Saturday – RED puts their chances of winning at 44%, the bookmakers at 41%. A 1-1 draw is most likely (12.6%), followed by a 1-0 home win (11.5%) and a 1-0 away win (9%).